Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Investing in these volatile times

Have you thought of investing in this volatile times?

Well, basically i would recommend these few investment tools.

1. Investing in Oil & Gas

Oil price is hovering around $50-$70 recently. However, one agency has come out and predicted that the oil price will eventually hit $200. And the agency is International Energy Agency(IEA).


The International Energy Agency(IEA), a highly respected international energy agency, in its latest Oil Market Report, predicts that oil prices will soar to $200 a barrel by 2030 due to rising energy demand. IEA agreed that the demand is slowing down this year and next year. What they concern is the supply couldn't keep to the demand in the future. IEA has also estimated that by 2015, as the output of the mature oil fields declines, prices could be back to $100 and on its way up again.

In the long run, rising oil prices are inevitable due to three reasons:-
1)Increasing demand for energy,especially from emerging countries and continued lack of renewable energy investment.
2)Oil is a depleting commodity and therefore scarce.
3)Yes, OPEC,OPEC. Its interest is to see a high and sustainable oil price.


Attached are some screenshot from the video. The agency has provided the rationale on the global demand vs supply down the road in 21 years from 2007 to 2030.

To watch the video, please go to:-
http://money.cnn.com/video/#/video/news/2008/11/12/news-energyfix-111208.cnnmoney

P.S. Investing in Oil & Gas can bring 11-13% per annum



2. Investing in Wine

The underlying principles of wine investment boil down to the laws of supply and demand. On the supply side, there are relatively few investment grade labels, whose production levels remain more or less fixed. On the demand side, there are a growing number of high net worth individuals around the world seeking to own and/or drink these wines. Ergo, the only way to ease the pressure is for prices to go up.

Investment grade wine is also an improving asset. As fine wines mature they become more desirable and therefore more valuable. At the same time, as the wine ages and comes into its drinking window, it begins to be consumed making it even rarer, which in turn adds yet more upward pressure on prices.

In the last 20 years fine wine has also outperformed a number of equity and fixed income indices including the FTSE 100. For long term investors (as opposed to shorter term speculators) a well chosen and balanced wine portfolio should provide annualized returns of 10-12% per annum.

Wine is less volatile than stocks and shares, making it a less risky investment. Moreover it is not highly correlated with the stock market, which makes it attractive to investors looking to diversify a portfolio.

It's also more fun than investing in pork bellies. And if the market does crash, you can at least take solace in drinking up your position.

10 great investment wines

Label

Vintage

Nov 06

Nov 04

Change

Latour

1996

3900

1520

156.6%

Lafleur

1982

22500

9595

134.5%

Mission Haut Brion

1982

6400

2750

132.7%

Lafite

1986

5025

2172

131.4%

Lafite

1996

4200

1825

130.1%

Ausone

2000

9800

4280

129.0%

Latour

1982

9700

4545

113.4%

Lafite

1995

2320

1100

110.9%

Lafleur

1990

10500

5200

101.9%

Margaux

1996

3645

1850

97.0%

Margaux

1986

3479

1800

93.3%


P.S. Investing in wine can bring returns of 12 % per annum or 30% for 2 years.

Both wine and Oil & gas investment are tax free!

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